The State Of Indices, 6/7/2022

 SandP 500, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 14 days, +2.57% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $3831)

*comment: S and P chart is in a bearish configuration. The $3737 level is 36 months MAV which represents the bull market support. The price needs to close below this level on a monthly basis for the crash scenario to get activated. In June this level was pierced but the close was above so we will see how the July action goes. I added to my shorts at $3900 and will add on every $200 rise up to $4400.

HUI, last signal 92-96 SELL, 13 days, -10.06% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $216.57)
*comment: HUI generated simultaneous 16-20 buy and 92-96 sell signals that didn't generate support. The recent low ($236) was breached so $220 is the target.
NEW: We hit the target area ($220). A short-term rise to hit touch 16-20 ($245) should be expected. If $215-220 cannot hold the next target is $180ish.

Nasdaq, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 14 days,
+4.56% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $11322)
*comment: The chart is in a bearish configuration. The first downside target ($11404) has been hit the next target is $10269.

Russell 2000, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 13 days, +0.59% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 breaking to BUY; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $1741)
*comment: Russell is in a bearish configuration. The first target of $1710 has been hit, the next target is $1534.

10Y yield, on 92-96 BUY onpath, notxxed(true), juxtaposed, 161 days, +80.06% (also, 16-20 crossed to BUY; 35-39 crossed to SELL; 92-96 on BUY; 218-222 on BUY; current 2.81%)
*comment: 10Y yield is in a true bull market. Yield blasted through the resistance and hit my target of 3.5%. The S and P is on the verge of a meltdown but I think it will need yields back over 3.5%.
35-39 and 16-20 generated simultaneous signals today. 35-39 sold, 16-20 bought. Such a combo tends to mark lows but 35-39 needs to buy back to confirm it. If that doesn't happen and the fall continues the target is way down at 2.2%.

XAU, last signal 92-96 SELL (simultaneous with 16-20 BUY), 13 days, -11.28% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $108.15)
*comment: XAU generated simultaneous 16-20 buy and 92-96 sell signals. Such a combo usually marks a short-term bottom but this time it was just a pause. The recent low ($119) has been breached. The target on the downside is $100-110 but the final low might be sub-$100.

ASA, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 13 days,
-15.88% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $14.2)
*comment: The first among the gold indices to sell the 92-96 index. It officially is in a bearish configuration. The support has been broken and the action is bearish. The next target on the downside is $14.82.
NEW: The target has been hit but the fall continues. The next objective target is 11.80ish!?

Bitcoin, on 16-20 BUY, 24 days, -23.85% (also, 16-20 breaking to SELL; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $20397
*comment: BTC hit my second target of $19K. The next target is $13K but it is definitely time for some bounce or consolidation. Back to $24-26 maybe? Technically the measured target from the broken head and shoulders chart pattern is $3.5K(!) but the timeframe for that is probably another 12-18 months.

COPX copper miners, last signal 92-96 SELL (simultaneous with 16-20 BUY), 12 days, -19.31% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $28.24)
*comment: The support broke down, and the $30 target has been hit. It will probably mark some kind of the bottom. A bounce to $32ish is expected.

GDX,last signal 92-96 SELL, 8 days, -6.75% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $26.96)
*comment: The 92-96 sold again. That is bearish. The support ($30) fell. The new leg down is underway. The target is $25ish.
The support at $25 is emanating from the Jan 2016 bottom so it is very important for the very long-term structure of this bull market. This is the red line that cannot be crossed.

GDXJ, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 12 days,
-17.17% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $31.07)
*comment: The 92-96 true bull market has failed. The $37 didn't hold, a price collapse is probable down to $26-28.

GLD, last signal 92-96 SELL, 5 days, -2.87% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 breaking to SELL; current $164.75)
*comment: GLD chart is no more bullish. The $166 support was broken today. The next target is $158-160 (spot $1700-1720), probably sooner than I expected. $158-160 must hold for the bull market to survive.

SLV, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 12 days, -12.4% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $17.73)
*comment: $19 was taken out. The SKI structure is bearish the target is 18.5ish then $17.4ish. It seems it is coming sooner than I thought.

TIP, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 22 days, -2.36% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL, current $114.85)
*comment: TIPs are in a bearish configuration. It seems the short-term bounce is over. The downside target is still around $111.

TLT, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, notxxed(true), 17 days, +1.97% (also, 16-20 to NOT SELL 114.09/-2.26% or lower; 35-39 to NOT BUY 115.71/-0.87% or lower; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current$116.73)
*comment: TLT is in a bearish configuration. The long-term target is $100ish. 16th Jun might have been a short-term low with the upside target of $114.
NEW: $114 target has been hit. If the price can rise over $117 and stay there for a couple of days, the bottom might have been in.
NEW: Approaching $117 with a possibility of simultaneous signals 16-20 sell and 35-39 buy. Normally this should mark a short-term top but if it can hold a medium-term bottom might be in.

UCO, on 92-96 BUY, onpath, xxed, 142 days, +82.85% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 to SELL 37.81/-12.01% or lower; 92-96 on BUY; 218-222 on BUY; current $42.97)
*comment: The trendline ($45) has been broken. The 35-39 sold in a convincing manner. The chart is still in a bullish configuration but this sell seems to me like it has marked a long-term top. The top would be confirmed if the 92-96 can sell during the next few weeks.

URA, last signal 92-96 SELL, 11 days, +3.45% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 to SELL 17.53/-3.73% or lower; current $18.21)
*comment: Both 92-96 and 218-222 sold at the same time. That is combined with a 16-20 buy so it might mark a low but for now, it looks more like a breakdown. The first target is $16. The bulls need a price rise over $21 and then to hold that level.

USERX, on 16-20 BUY, onpath, xxed, 12 days, -12.34%; run pattern in-progress 1U/1D/-3.02%perday; xxing=on_off_off (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $9.31)
*comment: The 92-96 sold. The recent correction reached $10.28 the mega important level that was marked at the 2016 top and now this support has been broken. The first target on the downside is 9.25ish and then sub $8.5ish.
NEW: The first target has been hit. Can it produce at least a short-term bounce?

UUP, on 92-96 true BUY, 220 days, +13.12% (also, 16-20 on SELL; 35-39 on BUY; 92-96 on BUY; 218-222 on BUY; current $28.45)
*comment: The double top scenario didn't pan out. The next target is $29ish.

Australian XGD, last signal 92-96 SELL, 10 days, -10.9% (also, 16-20 on BUY; 35-39 on SELL; 92-96 on SELL; 218-222 on SELL; current $5165)
*comment: The 92-96 buy didn't last for long. $5600-5800 critical area of support has been breached. The next target is $4765.
The long-term support is at $5600-5800 and has been violated in a serious manner. The importance of this support cannot be overexaggerated. It originated from Dec 2016 low so it has been valid for over 7 years. Because of this violation, the whole bull market from 2015 to 2020 is now being recalibrated. The $4765 target is in the crosshairs. I have started buying under $5000 and will add again if we go under again.